ECONOMY

Will U.S. CPI year-over-year print below 2.5% for any month in Q4 2026?

Official BLS CPI-U year-over-year reading.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/kevin-hassett-says-jobs-report-way-better-than-expected-favorable-cpi-could-make-strong-argument-to-hold-rates-steady/ar-AA2bzmZ7?ocid=BingNewsVerp ↗

64.8% YES35.2% NO

Volume 2,404 TP · Closes 12/28/2026, 6:52:00 AM

Resolution criteria

Yes if any monthly CPI YoY release covering Oct, Nov, or Dec 2026 is below 2.5%.

Source: BLS CPI release

Truth Intel

Sticky services inflation is the drag.

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